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Time Series Terminal computes causal predictors and verifiable probabilistic prediction for any given future time point.

S&P 500 Nvidia US three equity indices US 20+ Year Bonds ETF

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6m (24w) ahead

Top Predictive Factors

Causally predictive factors for the values of US and ex-US markets, at the time point 6m (24w) away.

S&P Global Inc.

2025-07-25T02:58:46.305068 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.7.3, https://matplotlib.org/

Paychex, Inc. Common Stock

2025-07-25T02:58:46.323433 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.7.3, https://matplotlib.org/

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Common Stock

2025-07-25T02:58:46.345537 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.7.3, https://matplotlib.org/

ANSYS, Inc. Common Stock

2025-07-25T02:58:46.502273 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.7.3, https://matplotlib.org/

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Gold vs Nasdaq 100 vs S&P 500. US stocks driven by tariff threat. Global assets driven by US payroll. Iran and neighbouring countries inflation rates.

History of US national (federal) debt and how they relate to trade imbalance: They are not directly related but have a common component.

2025 May: Tariff threat, semiconductor driving US equity; semiconductor, utility (inflation) driving Western Europe equity; semiconductor driving US mid-cap equity

CPRT used car auction service floats to top driving factor 2 days before US tariff on auto parts comes into effect

2025 April: Volatile semiconductor/tech driving US stock indices

War and liberal economics: analysis of the US dollar to China Yuan exchange rate. By rolling back tariff to 10%, most international revenue of US companies got protected, as well as Chinese investment outside China.

How fast can Buffett sell his stock portfolio down to zero holding? Up to 1 year, generally. Regarding AAPL, Buffett and tsterm.com arrived at similar holding today, under comparable trading speed.

How to find Buffett's AAPL holding from SEC.gov?

Velocity of money: how many times one dollar changes hand in an economy

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